Every year, we see multiple programs make changes at the head coaching position. Whether it is due to losing that coach to another program, the coach resigning, or a firing, it happens.
Most of the time, warning signs are there and coaches are put on the proverbial hot seat. There, they stew as an administration takes a look at accomplishments, failures, and the in between. It is a rough time for any coach and something that I wouldn't wish upon my enemies.
With that said, let's take a look at some coaches that are on the hot seat in 2017.
David Bailiff, Rice:
The question has been asked on multiple occasions by many different people. What does David Bailiff have on Rice in order to keep his job? I honestly have no idea at this point.
Well, it is put up or shut up time for Bailiff and company this fall as they attempt to recover from an 8-16 swoon over the last two years. The Owls didn’t quite fall off in 2015 and 2016 as they began to freefall with no end in sight. Consider some of these losses from 2016: 46-14, 38-10, 44-28, 61-16, 42-25, 41-17.
The only wins for Bailiff last season came over Charlotte, UTEP, and Prairie View. That does not get many on the Rice bandwagon.
The saving grace for Bailiff that may get him another year is all the good will be bought from a magical season in 2008 and a three-year stretch of bowls from 2012-2014. Outside of those four seasons, he is 21-51 at Rice.
Sean Kugler, UTEP:
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| By UTEPAthletics - Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0. |
No offense to Kugler, but maybe he is one of those coaches that excel at assistant duties while struggling to run the entire operation. Think Wade Phillips on the NFL side. Kugler was an impressive assistant coach that came running when the Miners needed someone to replace Mike Price. Heading into his fifth season as head coach, maybe it is time to think about another direction.
Again, I really like Kugler as a vital assistant and he will likely get multiple NFL job offers to coach an offensive line if UTEP goes in a different direction. While the respect is there, college football is a result driven enterprise and winning 18 games in four seasons is hard to justify to an administration looking for a winning program.
If Kugler is unable to reverse a trend that has seen the Miners fall further and further away from bowl contention, he could be forced to resign at the end of the year.
Paul Haynes, Kent State:
Let’s be honest with ourselves. Kent State does not really care if the football team goes 10-3 or 3-9. Sure, a boost in the profile of the program is nice, but it does not matter in the long run. That much is clear by the fact that Haynes is still leading the program heading into a fifth season. He is 12-35 in four seasons and has finished no better than fifth in the weaker of the MAC divisions in the last four seasons.
Since Haynes has been head coach, the Golden Flashes have won a total of eight MAC games while losing to FBS program North Carolina A&T last season. There is no reason to expect Kent State to be any better this season, but there is little to no buzz about the possibility of a new head coach in 2018.
The only thing keeping Haynes with a job at this point is apathy. Another 3-9 season may force the administration to make a chance.
Lance Leipold, Buffalo:
For a coach that lost all over 6 games in eight seasons at Wisconsin-Whitewater, coaching at the FBS level was a rude wakeup call. Leipold lost more games in 2015 (seven) than in his entire college head coaching career combined.
Hindsight 20/20, Leipold may have waited a season or two longer for a more sustained program to come calling. Buffalo is a tough place to win with a fan base that desperately wants a winner. The athletic department is trying to show some initiative and get at least in the same ballpark as other programs, but Buffalo is a place where football dreams come to die.
I wouldn’t quite call Leipold’s seat all that hot at the moment, but he has to prove that he and his coaching staff are not overwhelmed by “big time” college football. Patience from the AD could see Buffalo turn into a situation like Wyoming where Craig Bohl finally flourished in his third season.
Doug Martin, New Mexico State:
Another coach that I have the utmost respect for, Martin may be about to ride off into the sunset with the Aggies. He has in his fifth season and has a total of ten wins in the previous four seasons. His best record has been 3-9 and the team has been unable to stop air from scoring in the last few seasons.
So much uncertainty surrounds this program, from the surprisingly high expectations to the unknown wilderness that is college football independence; it would make sense for the Aggies to stick with Martin after this season. That includes another 3-9 season.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Aggies take a bold approach and go with a young FBS coach full of energy and fire to take the reins. Overall, put it this way. If NMSU were staying in the Sun Belt beyond the 2017 season and went 3-9 this fall, I would pretty much expect Martin to get the ax. Since they are completely independent in 2018, who really knows what will happen?
Tyson Summers, Georgia Southern:
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| By Bobak Ha'Eri - Own work, CC BY 3.0. |
Summers is in a precarious situation at Georgia Southern. The Eagles were one of the most storied teams in FCS history with six national titles. They made the move to the FBS and never seemed to break stride under Willie Fritz. The program went 18-7 in two years, including a win over Florida and the program’s first bowl appearance (and win).
Summers, a member of the 2006 coaching staff, took over to the surprise of some but had a group of loyal fans expecting the best. Then, 2016 happened. The Eagles fell to 5-7 and looked like a completely different (in a bad way) team under Summers.
There were fan’s calling for Summers to be fired after last season, but there was no chance of that happening. Instead, he must prove that he can turn this team into a winner once again. I am not saying that he would be fired after a poor 2017…. Well, it really depends on how poor that season ends up.
Put simply, a poor 2017 season would turn his seat into one of the hottest in the nation.
Matt Wells, Utah State:
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| By Bobak Ha'Eri - Own work, CC BY 3.0. |
Remember not all that long ago when Matt Wells was a coach on the rise, earning a 19-9 record and two straight bowl berths? He was mentioned as a coach that would someday lead a P5 program. That seems so long ago as Wells is coming off of back to back losing seasons and a 3-9 year that no one expected.
The Aggies just have not looked like a top tier MWC team in the last two seasons and much of the blame has to fall on the man at the top. Unimpressive recruiting and being outcoached on the field have turned 2017 into a make or break year for Wells.
Bonus Pick: Rod Carey, Northern Illinois:
While this would be a complete out of nowhere firing and a crazy decision, there is a significant portion of the Huskies fan base that would be thrilled to see Carey get the ax. Despite winning 23 of his first 28 games as head coach, it could be argued that the Huskies have been on a downward slide since he took over for Dave Doeren.
A 5-7 season that was only that good due to a very poor MAC last season got a very intense group of fans very riled up and could be the undoing of Carey. How well NIU is able to bounce back this fall after missing the postseason for the first time since the 2007 season will determine how much leash is given moving forward.
